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Anne Barton's avatar

This is a good analysis, but I think you missed a point which is more psychological than economic. And very hard to get for anyone who has not worked in a traditional petite bourgeois job, because the capitalists have worked very hard to erase the idea. And this is the idea of free speech. When the idea was first floated in America, it was by petite bourgeois craftsmen and farmers- men whose livelihoods were somewhat independent of their politics.

The Red Scare and McCarthy era of American politics happened at the same time more and more American left or lost family farms or small businesses to become wage workers. My parents were children during the McCarthy era, and have stories of their parents having to take the family to anti-communist meetings to avoid being labelled "pinkos" and black-listed. And my grandparents were college-educated in a time when that was rare and quite well-off. But they had less freedom of expression than many blue collar workers.

Many people fail to understand the precarity of American workers or the anxiety that precarity creates. Workers are forced to perform social conformity to be employable and thus survive, because most of us are at will employees and can be be fired on a whim- which makes it very hard to avoid being fired for being a unionist or having political differences- your boss can fire you for being a unionist, then claim they didn't like your eyebrows and then the employee has to pay to prove in a court of law that their eyebrows were irrelevant.

Unions were the bulwark against this sort of coercive control of the working class. I recommend watching Sean O-Brien's speech to the RNC (he's the Teamster's president). https://youtu.be/0pDnocISOKc?si=84zHj5fabJPxhHnM He talks about how he can come say what he wants in front of the RNC and call out people far more powerful than him because if they come after him and ruin him, he can still just dust off his CDL and union card and go back to driving a truck and getting a fair union wage and real health insurance. That's a sort of freedom of speech very few American workers have- protection not just from government persecution but from economic persecution.

The woke put themselves firmly against this sort of freedom of speech with cancel culture. While there were very few working class targets of cancel culture, the whole idea rightfully offended the working class. The idea that decades of work building a career could be destroyed with an offensive Tweet really riled people who already had to make sure their Facebook profile was acceptable in case a hiring manager at Dollar General cyber-stalked them. The woke cancel culture thing begged the question of whether your boss should be able to fire you for your views and activities outside of work. And in a culture where employment looks more and more like ownership every year, with employees expected to answer work emails at their kids birthday parties, the working class was angry with the idea that there should not be a divide between work and home. Cancel culture was a massive enclosure of the private sphere- a way of saying your home life and free time belong to your employer. It was a way of saying that your employer has not only the right but the responsibility to supervise you all the time. The cultural implication of cancel culture was to replace the paterfamilias with the employer as paterfamilias responsible for the moral instruction and obedience of their employees. That the anti-worker implications of this were ignored astonished me.

And of course, the desire for more jobs is somewhat linked to this. Workers have more power within high demand fields- antivax nurses and racist linemen are basically un-cancellable because their skills are needed too much. However, Americans are foolish to pretend like all jobs can be in demand all the time and so they can be protected by the demand for labor. In the end, only worker's power in the form of unions can really protect workers from the caprice of employers.

And I think this is a lot of what pushed people to support Trump. They knew either party was going to fuck them over- they just didn't want to be expected to fake an orgasm for it. Even still, I think the support for Trump has been rationalized too much. I think there are some other big missing pieces. One being the aging population- the dementia vote is becoming a real thing. I've seen several die-hard union Democrats turn into Trumpers. Some of it I think is legitimately due to the politics and economics. But there is also an aspect of cognitive decline for a lot of them in terms of not being able to keep up or think critically.

Another factor is the shift in culture regarding neurodivergence. People tend to focus on the rising rates of ADHD and autism as a measure of alienation or internal mental turmoil. But from a forest-not-trees perspective, it can also be seen as a measure of how tolerant society is of minor differences- a measure of where the line between "weird" and "pathologically weird" is drawn by a society- and this often is related to employability. Relating to cancel culture, how many of the blue collar tradesmen who are afraid of #metoo and woke culture are the hyperactive boys of the 1960s and 1970s who would be diagnosed with ADHD in the modern day. But that was considered a valid personality type back then and they were steered into the trades. They have good reason to fear that they will blurt out something dumb, or be distracted by a woman, and not be able to represent or defend themselves well in the social sphere. For all of the left's lip service to neurodivergence, woke spaces are hell on actually neurodivergent people- think of the autistic person who actually has to understand gender to be ok with it or the ADHD person who interrupts others- being argumentative and interrupting is kind of peak cis-hetero-white-man behavior. Estimates of what percentage of the population is neurodivergent run into the double digits. And neurodivergent people often do very well in a niche which can accommodate their differences- meaning they often become leaders in those niches and exercise an outsize influence. Think of the fear it could inspire in a successful union tradesman's heart to have escaped the confines of school and proper society to become a lineman during the week/ outlaw biker on the weekends and then to have proper society come and insert itself into the union and attempt to take over their niche? At worst, they feel that women and minorities who just want to a good job are actually a vanguard for the corporate enclosure of their surviving niches where skill and getting the job done matter more than a lack of social skills or impulsive idiocy.

I'm just not convinced by the economic arguments for why blue collar workers supported Trump. I'm sure they played a part, but there are so many other ways blue collar workers could have gone, and Trump's promises could only be believed by the very dumbest of people. As someone who has worked blue collar jobs most of my life, I'm aware that many of the people voting for Trump are usually not as gullible and stupid as they'd have to be to take Trump as face value. I see it as far more of a protest vote- cutting off their noses to spite the face of the Democrats. They want to "show the libs"- maybe literally. Show the libs what it feels like to have a crazy megalomaniac in control. Show the libs what it is like to have the reality you can see before your eyes denied from the highest offices of the country.

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BeardTree's avatar

Putting my response here to keep it anonymous. I would to do a gift subscription for clearly me who made the comment on your latest post. Went to gift subscription and couldn’t figure out how to do it. A proposal I upgrade to founding and you let her piggyback on me or you add the buy me a coffee option and I put 60 there.

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